Elena R
Bitcoin (BTC) recently surged past the psychological barrier of $38,000, and analyst Mag has some fascinating insights into when we might see a new All-Time High (ATH). Mag’s predictions lean on historical cycles in Bitcoin’s price movements, giving us a roadmap to understand where Bitcoin’s price might be headed.
Historical Trends and Predictions
Mag’s tweet highlights that, historically, it took Bitcoin around 234 to 216 days to beat its previous ATH in the last two cycles. This bit of info offers context, guiding us on the potential path of Bitcoin’s price in the coming months.
Adding more spice to Mag’s analysis is the upcoming Bitcoin Halving, just 130 days away. This event, happening roughly every four years, is a big deal in Bitcoin’s world as it slows down how fast new bitcoins are made. Mag suggests that considering 234 days post-halving brings us to a total of 364 days, pointing to the chance of a new ATH for Bitcoin around December 2024.
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Glassnode’s Three Stages
A detailed report from Glassnode unveils three main stages, each shining a light on important parts of the Bitcoin market. The first stage looks at the ‘Available and Active’ Supply, showing us how much Bitcoin is actively circulating for trading.
In the second stage, we check out rates in the ‘supply storage and saving’ phase, which tells us there’s less Bitcoin available for trading. This shift indicates more people are moving their coins away from active trading, leaning towards long-term investments.
Here’s a cool find: since February 2022, more entities holding less than 100 BTC are accumulating than the number of new bitcoins being made. This marks the longest and most consistent period of such behavior in Bitcoin’s history.
The third stage dives into analyzing how capital flows affect market valuation. Using Realized Cap to understand capital inflows, outflows, and asset rotation, the report shows that Bitcoin’s supply and liquidity are really tight, underlining the current state of the market.
Read More: Bitcoin’s Tipping Point: How the Upcoming Halving and ETFs Could Reshape Crypto
If these projections hold up, December 2024 could be a big moment in Bitcoin’s journey, securing its position as a major digital asset in the financial world. The crypto community eagerly anticipates how Bitcoin’s story unfolds in the coming months.
