Cointelegraph by Zoltan Vardai
The European Union’s latest retaliatory tariffs have deepened macroeconomic uncertainty, prompting crypto analysts to forecast increased volatility for Bitcoin prices, which may drop below the critical $75,000 support level.
The EU will impose counter-tariffs on 26 billion euros ($28 billion) worth of US goods starting in April, the European Commission announced on March 12, responding to US President Donald Trump’s recent move to impose 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports.
This move is the latest retaliatory tariff announcement in response to US import tariffs, which may trigger renewed trade war concerns and market volatility in the near term.
Source: European Commission
“Counter tariffs aren’t a positive signal as they suggest a potential bounce back from the other side again,” according to Marcin Kazmierczak, co-founder and chief operating officer of blockchain oracle solution firm, RedStone.
This may see Bitcoin (BTC) revisit $75,000, he told Cointelegraph, adding that “given stablecoins and RWAs [real world assets] remain at all-time-highs, it has the potential to rebound.”
“I don’t believe that news will have a strong impact for now, but we’ll observe the response on the US end,” he added.
Related: Bitcoin reserve backlash signals unrealistic industry expectations
Other analysts still eye a temporary Bitcoin retracement below $72,000 as part of a “macro correction” during the current bull market cycle before Bitcoin’s next leg up.
Still, import tariffs are not the only factor influencing Bitcoin’s price, Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research, told Cointelegraph, adding:
“The prices are correlated with wider economic conditions but are also influenced by factors beyond trade policies. Worldwide institutional adoption, regulatory updates and high utility make it more resilient than traditional financial instruments.”
BTC/USD, 1-month chart. Source: Cointelegraph
Europe announced its retaliatory tariffs the same day Trump’s increased 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminum imports took effect. Europe’s current suspension of tariffs on US goods will end on April 1, and its new tariffs will take full effect by April 13.
Related: Bitcoin may benefit from US stablecoin dominance push
Global trade tariff uncertainty may limit markets until April 2
Traditional and cryptocurrency markets may be limited by tariff-related concerns until April 2, according to Aurelie Barthere, principal research analyst at Nansen.”
“Tariff noise is likely to continue till after April 2, and the reciprocal tariff announcements, and then negotiations, and put a lid on risk appetite.”
“That said, we observed tentative stabilization in the major US equity indexes and BTC yesterday, at the low of their respective RSI, which we are monitoring,” she added.
Trump threatened to “substantially increase” duties on cars entering the US from Canada, set to take effect on April 2, unless Canada decides to drop some of its trade tariffs.
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